Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001108 0.001146 0.001184 0.001226 0.001271 0.001317 0.001368
2025-08-24 0.001025 0.001079 0.001136 0.001200 0.001271 0.001347 0.001435
2025-08-31 0.000985 0.001052 0.001125 0.001210 0.001307 0.001415 0.001545
2025-09-07 0.000947 0.001024 0.001109 0.001211 0.001330 0.001467 0.001638
2025-09-14 0.000907 0.000991 0.001085 0.001199 0.001336 0.001497 0.001706
2025-09-21 0.000872 0.000960 0.001060 0.001184 0.001336 0.001518 0.001761
2025-09-28 0.000844 0.000937 0.001043 0.001176 0.001342 0.001547 0.001826
2025-10-05 0.000806 0.000898 0.001005 0.001141 0.001313 0.001528 0.001828
2025-10-12 0.000784 0.000879 0.000990 0.001133 0.001316 0.001550 0.001883
2025-10-19 0.000770 0.000867 0.000983 0.001134 0.001331 0.001586 0.001960
2025-10-26 0.000751 0.000850 0.000969 0.001125 0.001331 0.001603 0.002011
2025-11-02 0.000739 0.000841 0.000964 0.001127 0.001346 0.001640 0.002091
2025-11-09 0.000724 0.000827 0.000952 0.001121 0.001349 0.001662 0.002153
2025-11-16 0.000707 0.000811 0.000938 0.001111 0.001347 0.001676 0.002203
2025-11-23 0.000703 0.000810 0.000943 0.001126 0.001380 0.001742 0.002341
2025-11-30 0.000694 0.000803 0.000940 0.001129 0.001397 0.001785 0.002446
2025-12-07 0.000680 0.000790 0.000928 0.001120 0.001396 0.001800 0.002503
2025-12-14 0.000665 0.000775 0.000913 0.001108 0.001388 0.001805 0.002543
2025-12-21 0.000654 0.000764 0.000903 0.001101 0.001388 0.001822 0.002605
2025-12-28 0.000633 0.000740 0.000877 0.001070 0.001352 0.001780 0.002558
2026-01-04 0.000623 0.000730 0.000867 0.001063 0.001351 0.001793 0.002612
2026-01-11 0.000616 0.000724 0.000863 0.001064 0.001362 0.001825 0.002707
2026-01-18 0.000606 0.000714 0.000854 0.001056 0.001359 0.001835 0.002757